DIO Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

039840 Stock  KRW 16,250  90.00  0.55%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of DIO Corporation on the next trading day is expected to be 16,617 with a mean absolute deviation of 368.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15,098. DIO Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast DIO stock prices and determine the direction of DIO Corporation's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of DIO's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for DIO Corporation is based on a synthetically constructed DIOdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

DIO 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of DIO Corporation on the next trading day is expected to be 16,617 with a mean absolute deviation of 368.26, mean absolute percentage error of 191,840, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15,098.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DIO Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DIO's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

DIO Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest DIODIO Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

DIO Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting DIO's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DIO's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16,615 and 16,619, respectively. We have considered DIO's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16,250
16,615
Downside
16,617
Expected Value
16,619
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DIO stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DIO stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria93.5174
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -11.5488
MADMean absolute deviation368.2561
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0223
SAESum of the absolute errors15098.5
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. DIO Corporation 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for DIO

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DIO Corporation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16,24816,25016,252
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13,75113,75317,875
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15,81216,61717,422
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as DIO. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against DIO's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, DIO's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in DIO Corporation.

Other Forecasting Options for DIO

For every potential investor in DIO, whether a beginner or expert, DIO's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DIO Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DIO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DIO's price trends.

DIO Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DIO stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DIO could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DIO by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

DIO Corporation Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of DIO's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of DIO's current price.

DIO Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DIO stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DIO shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DIO stock market strength indicators, traders can identify DIO Corporation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

DIO Risk Indicators

The analysis of DIO's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DIO's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dio stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Other Information on Investing in DIO Stock

DIO financial ratios help investors to determine whether DIO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DIO with respect to the benefits of owning DIO security.