NEOWIZ HOLDINGS Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

042420 Stock  KRW 21,500  450.00  2.14%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of NEOWIZ HOLDINGS on the next trading day is expected to be 21,500 with a mean absolute deviation of 433.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25,565. NEOWIZ Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast NEOWIZ HOLDINGS stock prices and determine the direction of NEOWIZ HOLDINGS's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of NEOWIZ HOLDINGS's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for NEOWIZ HOLDINGS is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

NEOWIZ HOLDINGS Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of NEOWIZ HOLDINGS on the next trading day is expected to be 21,500 with a mean absolute deviation of 433.31, mean absolute percentage error of 826,889, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25,565.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NEOWIZ Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NEOWIZ HOLDINGS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

NEOWIZ HOLDINGS Stock Forecast Pattern

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NEOWIZ HOLDINGS Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting NEOWIZ HOLDINGS's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NEOWIZ HOLDINGS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21,495 and 21,505, respectively. We have considered NEOWIZ HOLDINGS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
21,500
21,495
Downside
21,500
Expected Value
21,505
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NEOWIZ HOLDINGS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NEOWIZ HOLDINGS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria128.0602
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -70.2542
MADMean absolute deviation433.3051
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0211
SAESum of the absolute errors25565.0
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of NEOWIZ HOLDINGS price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of NEOWIZ HOLDINGS. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for NEOWIZ HOLDINGS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NEOWIZ HOLDINGS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21,49521,50021,505
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17,90817,91323,650
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NEOWIZ HOLDINGS. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NEOWIZ HOLDINGS's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NEOWIZ HOLDINGS's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NEOWIZ HOLDINGS.

Other Forecasting Options for NEOWIZ HOLDINGS

For every potential investor in NEOWIZ, whether a beginner or expert, NEOWIZ HOLDINGS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NEOWIZ Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NEOWIZ. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NEOWIZ HOLDINGS's price trends.

NEOWIZ HOLDINGS Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NEOWIZ HOLDINGS stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NEOWIZ HOLDINGS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NEOWIZ HOLDINGS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

NEOWIZ HOLDINGS Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of NEOWIZ HOLDINGS's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of NEOWIZ HOLDINGS's current price.

NEOWIZ HOLDINGS Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NEOWIZ HOLDINGS stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NEOWIZ HOLDINGS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NEOWIZ HOLDINGS stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NEOWIZ HOLDINGS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

NEOWIZ HOLDINGS Risk Indicators

The analysis of NEOWIZ HOLDINGS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NEOWIZ HOLDINGS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting neowiz stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with NEOWIZ HOLDINGS

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if NEOWIZ HOLDINGS position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in NEOWIZ HOLDINGS will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to NEOWIZ HOLDINGS could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace NEOWIZ HOLDINGS when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back NEOWIZ HOLDINGS - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling NEOWIZ HOLDINGS to buy it.
The correlation of NEOWIZ HOLDINGS is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as NEOWIZ HOLDINGS moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if NEOWIZ HOLDINGS moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for NEOWIZ HOLDINGS can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in NEOWIZ Stock

NEOWIZ HOLDINGS financial ratios help investors to determine whether NEOWIZ Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NEOWIZ with respect to the benefits of owning NEOWIZ HOLDINGS security.