Curo Holdings Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

051780 Stock  KRW 1,013  28.00  2.69%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Curo Holdings Co on the next trading day is expected to be 1,027 with a mean absolute deviation of 73.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,289. Curo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Curo Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of Curo Holdings Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Curo Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Curo Holdings Co is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Curo Holdings 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Curo Holdings Co on the next trading day is expected to be 1,027 with a mean absolute deviation of 73.95, mean absolute percentage error of 21,830, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,289.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Curo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Curo Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Curo Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Curo HoldingsCuro Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Curo Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Curo Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Curo Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,024 and 1,030, respectively. We have considered Curo Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,013
1,027
Expected Value
1,030
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Curo Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Curo Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.5879
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 60.069
MADMean absolute deviation73.9483
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0493
SAESum of the absolute errors4289.0
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Curo Holdings. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Curo Holdings Co and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Curo Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Curo Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0101,0131,016
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
969.77972.481,114
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Curo Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Curo Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Curo Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Curo Holdings.

Other Forecasting Options for Curo Holdings

For every potential investor in Curo, whether a beginner or expert, Curo Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Curo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Curo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Curo Holdings' price trends.

Curo Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Curo Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Curo Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Curo Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Curo Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Curo Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Curo Holdings' current price.

Curo Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Curo Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Curo Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Curo Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Curo Holdings Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Curo Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Curo Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Curo Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting curo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Curo Holdings

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Curo Holdings position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Curo Holdings will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Curo Stock

  0.92040910 ICD CoPairCorr

Moving against Curo Stock

  0.87122870 YG EntertainmentPairCorr
  0.83041510 SM EntertainmentPairCorr
  0.82035420 NaverPairCorr
  0.81035900 JYP EntertainmentPairCorr
  0.77078160 MEDIPOSTPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Curo Holdings could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Curo Holdings when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Curo Holdings - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Curo Holdings Co to buy it.
The correlation of Curo Holdings is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Curo Holdings moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Curo Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Curo Holdings can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Curo Stock

Curo Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Curo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Curo with respect to the benefits of owning Curo Holdings security.