Uniform Industrial Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

2482 Stock  TWD 27.30  0.50  1.80%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Uniform Industrial Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 26.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.01. Uniform Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Uniform Industrial Corp is based on a synthetically constructed Uniform Industrialdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Uniform Industrial 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Uniform Industrial Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 26.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.20, mean absolute percentage error of 2.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Uniform Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Uniform Industrial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Uniform Industrial Stock Forecast Pattern

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Uniform Industrial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Uniform Industrial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Uniform Industrial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.56 and 29.42, respectively. We have considered Uniform Industrial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
27.30
26.99
Expected Value
29.42
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Uniform Industrial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Uniform Industrial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria82.104
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.1138
MADMean absolute deviation1.1954
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0434
SAESum of the absolute errors49.01
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Uniform Industrial Corp 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Uniform Industrial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Uniform Industrial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.8727.3029.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.9828.4130.84
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Uniform Industrial

For every potential investor in Uniform, whether a beginner or expert, Uniform Industrial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Uniform Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Uniform. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Uniform Industrial's price trends.

Uniform Industrial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Uniform Industrial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Uniform Industrial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Uniform Industrial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Uniform Industrial Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Uniform Industrial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Uniform Industrial's current price.

Uniform Industrial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Uniform Industrial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Uniform Industrial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Uniform Industrial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Uniform Industrial Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Uniform Industrial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Uniform Industrial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Uniform Industrial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting uniform stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Uniform Stock Analysis

When running Uniform Industrial's price analysis, check to measure Uniform Industrial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Uniform Industrial is operating at the current time. Most of Uniform Industrial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Uniform Industrial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Uniform Industrial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Uniform Industrial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.