Sanxiang Advanced Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

603663 Stock   16.55  0.05  0.30%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sanxiang Advanced Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 16.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.63. Sanxiang Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sanxiang Advanced stock prices and determine the direction of Sanxiang Advanced Materials's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sanxiang Advanced's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Sanxiang Advanced's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 650.5 M, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 141.2 M.
A two period moving average forecast for Sanxiang Advanced is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Sanxiang Advanced Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sanxiang Advanced Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 16.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49, mean absolute percentage error of 0.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sanxiang Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sanxiang Advanced's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sanxiang Advanced Stock Forecast Pattern

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Sanxiang Advanced Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sanxiang Advanced's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sanxiang Advanced's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.79 and 20.31, respectively. We have considered Sanxiang Advanced's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.55
16.55
Expected Value
20.31
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sanxiang Advanced stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sanxiang Advanced stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.4321
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0149
MADMean absolute deviation0.4939
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0284
SAESum of the absolute errors29.635
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Sanxiang Advanced Materials price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Sanxiang Advanced. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Sanxiang Advanced

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sanxiang Advanced. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.8316.5920.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.4214.1717.93
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sanxiang Advanced. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sanxiang Advanced's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sanxiang Advanced's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sanxiang Advanced.

Other Forecasting Options for Sanxiang Advanced

For every potential investor in Sanxiang, whether a beginner or expert, Sanxiang Advanced's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sanxiang Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sanxiang. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sanxiang Advanced's price trends.

Sanxiang Advanced Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sanxiang Advanced stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sanxiang Advanced could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sanxiang Advanced by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sanxiang Advanced Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sanxiang Advanced's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sanxiang Advanced's current price.

Sanxiang Advanced Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sanxiang Advanced stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sanxiang Advanced shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sanxiang Advanced stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sanxiang Advanced Materials entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sanxiang Advanced Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sanxiang Advanced's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sanxiang Advanced's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sanxiang stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Sanxiang Stock

Sanxiang Advanced financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sanxiang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sanxiang with respect to the benefits of owning Sanxiang Advanced security.