Xiangyu Medical Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

688626 Stock   33.70  2.01  6.34%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Xiangyu Medical Co on the next trading day is expected to be 33.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 81.72. Xiangyu Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Xiangyu Medical stock prices and determine the direction of Xiangyu Medical Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Xiangyu Medical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Xiangyu Medical's Other Current Liabilities is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Cash is expected to grow to about 675.7 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 1.9 B.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Xiangyu Medical price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Xiangyu Medical Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 10th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Xiangyu Medical Co on the next trading day is expected to be 33.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.34, mean absolute percentage error of 3.57, and the sum of the absolute errors of 81.72.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Xiangyu Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Xiangyu Medical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Xiangyu Medical Stock Forecast Pattern

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Xiangyu Medical Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Xiangyu Medical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Xiangyu Medical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.00 and 38.28, respectively. We have considered Xiangyu Medical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
33.70
33.64
Expected Value
38.28
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Xiangyu Medical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Xiangyu Medical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.3843
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.3397
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0476
SAESum of the absolute errors81.7236
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Xiangyu Medical Co historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Xiangyu Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xiangyu Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.0633.7038.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.5731.2135.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
29.9831.6233.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Xiangyu Medical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Xiangyu Medical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Xiangyu Medical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Xiangyu Medical.

Other Forecasting Options for Xiangyu Medical

For every potential investor in Xiangyu, whether a beginner or expert, Xiangyu Medical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Xiangyu Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Xiangyu. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Xiangyu Medical's price trends.

Xiangyu Medical Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Xiangyu Medical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Xiangyu Medical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Xiangyu Medical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Xiangyu Medical Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Xiangyu Medical's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Xiangyu Medical's current price.

Xiangyu Medical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Xiangyu Medical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Xiangyu Medical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Xiangyu Medical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Xiangyu Medical Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Xiangyu Medical Risk Indicators

The analysis of Xiangyu Medical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Xiangyu Medical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xiangyu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Xiangyu Stock

Xiangyu Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xiangyu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xiangyu with respect to the benefits of owning Xiangyu Medical security.