Anixa Biosciences Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ANIX Stock | USD 3.30 0.01 0.30% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Anixa Biosciences on the next trading day is expected to be 3.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.80. Anixa Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Anixa |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Anixa Biosciences' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1985-10-31 | Previous Quarter 995 K | Current Value 1.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 277 M |
Anixa Biosciences Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Anixa Biosciences on the next trading day is expected to be 3.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.80.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Anixa Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Anixa Biosciences' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Anixa Biosciences Stock Forecast Pattern
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Anixa Biosciences Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Anixa Biosciences' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Anixa Biosciences' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 7.80, respectively. We have considered Anixa Biosciences' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Anixa Biosciences stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Anixa Biosciences stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.337 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1259 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0382 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.8028 |
Predictive Modules for Anixa Biosciences
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anixa Biosciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Anixa Biosciences
For every potential investor in Anixa, whether a beginner or expert, Anixa Biosciences' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Anixa Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Anixa. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Anixa Biosciences' price trends.View Anixa Biosciences Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Anixa Biosciences Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Anixa Biosciences' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Anixa Biosciences' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Anixa Biosciences Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Anixa Biosciences stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Anixa Biosciences shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Anixa Biosciences stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Anixa Biosciences entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Anixa Biosciences Risk Indicators
The analysis of Anixa Biosciences' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Anixa Biosciences' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting anixa stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.62 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.19 | |||
| Variance | 17.57 | |||
| Downside Variance | 11.1 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.81 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.18) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Anixa Stock Analysis
When running Anixa Biosciences' price analysis, check to measure Anixa Biosciences' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Anixa Biosciences is operating at the current time. Most of Anixa Biosciences' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Anixa Biosciences' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Anixa Biosciences' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Anixa Biosciences to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.