PF Atlantic Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ATLA-DKK  DKK 1.95  0.01  0.51%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of PF Atlantic Petroleum on the next trading day is expected to be 1.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.58. ATLA-DKK Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for PF Atlantic is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of PF Atlantic Petroleum value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

PF Atlantic Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of PF Atlantic Petroleum on the next trading day is expected to be 1.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ATLA-DKK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PF Atlantic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PF Atlantic Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest PF AtlanticPF Atlantic Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

PF Atlantic Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PF Atlantic's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PF Atlantic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 5.34, respectively. We have considered PF Atlantic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.95
1.92
Expected Value
5.34
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PF Atlantic stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PF Atlantic stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.3875
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0423
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0184
SAESum of the absolute errors2.5825
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of PF Atlantic Petroleum. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict PF Atlantic. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for PF Atlantic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PF Atlantic Petroleum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.101.955.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.785.19
Details

Other Forecasting Options for PF Atlantic

For every potential investor in ATLA-DKK, whether a beginner or expert, PF Atlantic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ATLA-DKK Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ATLA-DKK. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PF Atlantic's price trends.

PF Atlantic Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PF Atlantic stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PF Atlantic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PF Atlantic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PF Atlantic Petroleum Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PF Atlantic's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PF Atlantic's current price.

PF Atlantic Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PF Atlantic stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PF Atlantic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PF Atlantic stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PF Atlantic Petroleum entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PF Atlantic Risk Indicators

The analysis of PF Atlantic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PF Atlantic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting atla-dkk stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with PF Atlantic

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if PF Atlantic position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in PF Atlantic will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with ATLA-DKK Stock

  0.72HLUN-A H Lundbeck ASPairCorr
  0.9TRMD-A TORM plcPairCorr

Moving against ATLA-DKK Stock

  0.56DKINYM InvesteringsforeningenPairCorr
  0.56DKINMAKK InvesteringsforeningenPairCorr
  0.49JYINYAKL Jyske Invest NyePairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to PF Atlantic could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace PF Atlantic when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back PF Atlantic - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling PF Atlantic Petroleum to buy it.
The correlation of PF Atlantic is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as PF Atlantic moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if PF Atlantic Petroleum moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for PF Atlantic can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in ATLA-DKK Stock

PF Atlantic financial ratios help investors to determine whether ATLA-DKK Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ATLA-DKK with respect to the benefits of owning PF Atlantic security.