Altius Minerals OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

ATUSF Stock  USD 18.91  0.07  0.37%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Altius Minerals on the next trading day is expected to be 18.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.53. Altius OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Altius Minerals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Altius Minerals is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Altius Minerals Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Altius Minerals on the next trading day is expected to be 18.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.53.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Altius OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Altius Minerals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Altius Minerals OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Altius Minerals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Altius Minerals' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Altius Minerals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.89 and 20.93, respectively. We have considered Altius Minerals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18.91
18.91
Expected Value
20.93
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Altius Minerals otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Altius Minerals otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.5747
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0049
MADMean absolute deviation0.3141
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.017
SAESum of the absolute errors18.53
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Altius Minerals price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Altius Minerals. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Altius Minerals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Altius Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Altius Minerals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.8918.9120.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.5718.5920.61
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Altius Minerals

For every potential investor in Altius, whether a beginner or expert, Altius Minerals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Altius OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Altius. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Altius Minerals' price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Altius Minerals Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Altius Minerals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Altius Minerals' current price.

Altius Minerals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Altius Minerals otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Altius Minerals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Altius Minerals otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Altius Minerals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Altius Minerals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Altius Minerals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Altius Minerals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting altius otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Altius OTC Stock

Altius Minerals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Altius OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Altius with respect to the benefits of owning Altius Minerals security.