Banc Of Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

BANC Stock  USD 17.23  0.07  0.40%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Banc of California, on the next trading day is expected to be 18.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.52. Banc Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Banc Of stock prices and determine the direction of Banc of California,'s future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Banc Of's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current year's Inventory Turnover is expected to grow to -0.0059. In addition to that, Receivables Turnover is expected to decline to 1.47. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 139.8 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 64 M.

Banc Of Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Banc Of's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2000-12-31
Previous Quarter
2.7 B
Current Value
2.6 B
Quarterly Volatility
732.1 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Banc Of is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Banc of California, value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Banc Of Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Banc of California, on the next trading day is expected to be 18.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Banc Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Banc Of's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Banc Of Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Banc OfBanc Of Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Banc Of Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Banc Of's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Banc Of's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.71 and 20.30, respectively. We have considered Banc Of's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
17.23
18.00
Expected Value
20.30
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Banc Of stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Banc Of stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.3358
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3528
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0232
SAESum of the absolute errors21.52
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Banc of California,. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Banc Of. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Banc Of

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banc of California,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.9417.2319.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.5513.8418.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.8716.3417.81
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.0217.6019.54
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Banc Of

For every potential investor in Banc, whether a beginner or expert, Banc Of's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Banc Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Banc. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Banc Of's price trends.

Banc Of Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Banc Of stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Banc Of could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Banc Of by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Banc of California, Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Banc Of's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Banc Of's current price.

Banc Of Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Banc Of stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Banc Of shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Banc Of stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Banc of California, entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Banc Of Risk Indicators

The analysis of Banc Of's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Banc Of's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting banc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Banc of California, offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Banc Of's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Banc Of California, Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Banc Of California, Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Banc Of to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Banc Of. If investors know Banc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Banc Of listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.85
Dividend Share
0.04
Earnings Share
(3.86)
Revenue Per Share
2.689
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.19
The market value of Banc of California, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Banc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Banc Of's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Banc Of's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Banc Of's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Banc Of's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Banc Of's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Banc Of is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Banc Of's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.