Bendigo Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

BEN Stock   12.77  0.51  3.84%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bendigo And Adelaide on the next trading day is expected to be 12.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.30. Bendigo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Bendigo's Common Stock Total Equity is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is likely to gain to about 103.1 B in 2024, despite the fact that Net Debt is likely to grow to (1.8 B).
Bendigo simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Bendigo And Adelaide are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Bendigo And Adelaide prices get older.

Bendigo Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bendigo And Adelaide on the next trading day is expected to be 12.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.30.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bendigo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bendigo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bendigo Stock Forecast Pattern

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Bendigo Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bendigo's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bendigo's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.62 and 13.92, respectively. We have considered Bendigo's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.77
12.77
Expected Value
13.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bendigo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bendigo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.3553
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.019
MADMean absolute deviation0.105
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0083
SAESum of the absolute errors6.3
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Bendigo And Adelaide forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Bendigo observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Bendigo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bendigo And Adelaide. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.2413.2714.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.8010.8314.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.6313.2513.87
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.200.230.26
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Bendigo

For every potential investor in Bendigo, whether a beginner or expert, Bendigo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bendigo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bendigo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bendigo's price trends.

Bendigo Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bendigo stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bendigo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bendigo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bendigo And Adelaide Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bendigo's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bendigo's current price.

Bendigo Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bendigo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bendigo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bendigo stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bendigo And Adelaide entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bendigo Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bendigo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bendigo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bendigo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Bendigo Stock Analysis

When running Bendigo's price analysis, check to measure Bendigo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bendigo is operating at the current time. Most of Bendigo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bendigo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bendigo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bendigo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.