Bendigo (Australia) Price Prediction
| BEN Stock | 12.77 0.51 3.84% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
65
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.07 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.9 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.87 | Wall Street Target Price 11.2917 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.031 |
Using Bendigo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bendigo And Adelaide from the perspective of Bendigo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bendigo to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bendigo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bendigo after-hype prediction price | AUD 13.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bendigo |
Bendigo After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bendigo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bendigo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bendigo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bendigo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bendigo's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bendigo's historical news coverage. Bendigo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.24 and 14.30, respectively. We have considered Bendigo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bendigo is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bendigo And Adelaide is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bendigo Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bendigo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bendigo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bendigo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.15 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.77 | 13.27 | 0.08 |
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Bendigo Hype Timeline
Bendigo And Adelaide is currently traded for 12.77on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Bendigo is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 13.27. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Bendigo is about 920.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.78. About 28.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.07. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bendigo And Adelaide last dividend was issued on the 2nd of September 2024. The entity had 1.0117:1 split on the 12th of August 2009. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Bendigo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bendigo Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bendigo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bendigo's future price movements. Getting to know how Bendigo's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bendigo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ATM | Aneka Tambang Tbk | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.40 | (0.97) | 16.07 | |
| CBAPM | Commonwealth Bank of | (0.03) | 2 per month | 0.37 | (0.06) | 0.54 | (0.64) | 1.67 | |
| ANZ | Australia and New | (0.25) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.34 | (1.85) | 6.19 | |
| AN3PI | ANZ Group Holdings | (0.09) | 2 per month | 0.65 | (0.03) | 0.72 | (0.82) | 3.89 | |
| AN3PJ | ANZ Group Holdings | 0.30 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.36 | (0.53) | 1.93 | |
| NAB | National Australia Bank | 0.07 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.47 | (2.23) | 4.69 | |
| NABPI | National Australia Bank | 0.05 | 1 per month | 0.73 | (0.03) | 0.47 | (0.56) | 4.21 | |
| MQG | Macquarie Group | 0.86 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.62 | (2.19) | 5.38 | |
| CBA | Commonwealth Bank | 0.34 | 2 per month | 1.46 | 0.03 | 1.79 | (2.34) | 5.70 | |
| MQGPD | Macquarie Group Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.36 | (0.02) | 0.60 | (0.72) | 2.42 |
Bendigo Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bendigo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bendigo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bendigo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Bendigo Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bendigo stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bendigo And Adelaide, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bendigo based on analysis of Bendigo hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bendigo's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bendigo's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Bendigo
The number of cover stories for Bendigo depends on current market conditions and Bendigo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bendigo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bendigo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bendigo Short Properties
Bendigo's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bendigo's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bendigo And Adelaide often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bendigo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bendigo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 662.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 B |
Additional Tools for Bendigo Stock Analysis
When running Bendigo's price analysis, check to measure Bendigo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bendigo is operating at the current time. Most of Bendigo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bendigo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bendigo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bendigo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.