Camurus AB Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| CAMX Stock | SEK 550.50 8.50 1.52% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Camurus AB on the next trading day is expected to be 550.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 14.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 837.47. Camurus Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
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Camurus AB Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Camurus AB on the next trading day is expected to be 550.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 14.19, mean absolute percentage error of 401.64, and the sum of the absolute errors of 837.47.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Camurus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Camurus AB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Camurus AB Stock Forecast Pattern
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Camurus AB Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Camurus AB's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Camurus AB's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 547.95 and 553.22, respectively. We have considered Camurus AB's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Camurus AB stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Camurus AB stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -2.6828 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 14.1943 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0235 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 837.4656 |
Predictive Modules for Camurus AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Camurus AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Camurus AB
For every potential investor in Camurus, whether a beginner or expert, Camurus AB's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Camurus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Camurus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Camurus AB's price trends.Camurus AB Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Camurus AB stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Camurus AB could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Camurus AB by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Camurus AB Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Camurus AB's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Camurus AB's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Camurus AB Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Camurus AB stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Camurus AB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Camurus AB stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Camurus AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 721.65 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.59) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 555.75 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 554.0 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 5.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (9.50) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (8.50) |
Camurus AB Risk Indicators
The analysis of Camurus AB's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Camurus AB's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting camurus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.62 | |||
| Variance | 6.87 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Camurus Stock Analysis
When running Camurus AB's price analysis, check to measure Camurus AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Camurus AB is operating at the current time. Most of Camurus AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Camurus AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Camurus AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Camurus AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.