California High Mutual Fund Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

CAYAX Fund  USD 9.74  0.02  0.21%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of California High Yield Municipal on the next trading day is expected to be 9.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.97. California Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for California High Yield Municipal is based on a synthetically constructed California Highdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

California High 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of California High Yield Municipal on the next trading day is expected to be 9.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.97.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict California Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that California High's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

California High Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest California HighCalifornia High Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

California High Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting California High's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. California High's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.58 and 10.21, respectively. We have considered California High's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.74
9.89
Expected Value
10.21
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of California High mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent California High mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria76.4776
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0029
MADMean absolute deviation0.0723
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0073
SAESum of the absolute errors2.9655
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. California High Yield 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for California High

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as California High Yield. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.439.7410.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.469.7710.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as California High. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against California High's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, California High's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in California High Yield.

Other Forecasting Options for California High

For every potential investor in California, whether a beginner or expert, California High's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. California Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in California. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying California High's price trends.

California High Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with California High mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of California High could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing California High by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

California High Yield Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of California High's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of California High's current price.

California High Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how California High mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading California High shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying California High mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify California High Yield Municipal entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

California High Risk Indicators

The analysis of California High's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in California High's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting california mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in California Mutual Fund

California High financial ratios help investors to determine whether California Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in California with respect to the benefits of owning California High security.
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