Cal Comp Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

CCET Stock  THB 9.55  0.15  1.60%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Cal Comp Electronics Public on the next trading day is expected to be 8.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.58. Cal Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Cal Comp Electronics Public is based on a synthetically constructed Cal Compdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Cal Comp 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 17th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Cal Comp Electronics Public on the next trading day is expected to be 8.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.23, mean absolute percentage error of 2.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cal Comp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cal Comp Stock Forecast Pattern

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Cal Comp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cal Comp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cal Comp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.95 and 14.84, respectively. We have considered Cal Comp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.55
8.89
Expected Value
14.84
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cal Comp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cal Comp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria82.1438
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.2313
MADMean absolute deviation1.2336
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1678
SAESum of the absolute errors50.5765
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Cal Comp Electronics 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Cal Comp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cal Comp Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.609.5515.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.896.8412.79
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Cal Comp

For every potential investor in Cal, whether a beginner or expert, Cal Comp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cal Comp's price trends.

Cal Comp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cal Comp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cal Comp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cal Comp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cal Comp Electronics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cal Comp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cal Comp's current price.

Cal Comp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cal Comp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cal Comp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cal Comp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cal Comp Electronics Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cal Comp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cal Comp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cal Comp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Cal Stock

Cal Comp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cal Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cal with respect to the benefits of owning Cal Comp security.