CI GAMES Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

CI7 Stock   0.33  0.01  3.13%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CI GAMES SA on the next trading day is expected to be 0.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.39. CI7 Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CI GAMES's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for CI GAMES - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When CI GAMES prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in CI GAMES price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of CI GAMES SA.

CI GAMES Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CI GAMES SA on the next trading day is expected to be 0.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.39.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CI7 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CI GAMES's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CI GAMES Stock Forecast Pattern

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CI GAMES Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CI GAMES's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CI GAMES's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 4.23, respectively. We have considered CI GAMES's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.33
0.33
Expected Value
4.23
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CI GAMES stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CI GAMES stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 7.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0065
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0185
SAESum of the absolute errors0.3892
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past CI GAMES observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older CI GAMES SA observations.

Predictive Modules for CI GAMES

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CI GAMES SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.334.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.294.19
Details

Other Forecasting Options for CI GAMES

For every potential investor in CI7, whether a beginner or expert, CI GAMES's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CI7 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CI7. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CI GAMES's price trends.

CI GAMES Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CI GAMES stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CI GAMES could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CI GAMES by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CI GAMES SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CI GAMES's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CI GAMES's current price.

CI GAMES Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CI GAMES stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CI GAMES shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CI GAMES stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CI GAMES SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CI GAMES Risk Indicators

The analysis of CI GAMES's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CI GAMES's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ci7 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in CI7 Stock

CI GAMES financial ratios help investors to determine whether CI7 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CI7 with respect to the benefits of owning CI GAMES security.