Carefree Pink Sheet Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

CRFU Stock  USD 0.01  0.00  0.00%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Carefree Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Carefree Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Carefree Group is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Carefree 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Carefree Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Carefree Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Carefree's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Carefree Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Carefree Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Carefree's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Carefree's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 0.01, respectively. We have considered Carefree's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.01
Expected Value
0.01
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Carefree pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Carefree pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Carefree. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Carefree Group and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Carefree

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Carefree Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.010.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.010.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Carefree. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Carefree's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Carefree's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Carefree Group.

Other Forecasting Options for Carefree

For every potential investor in Carefree, whether a beginner or expert, Carefree's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Carefree Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Carefree. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Carefree's price trends.

Carefree Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Carefree pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Carefree could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Carefree by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Carefree Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Carefree's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Carefree's current price.

Carefree Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Carefree pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Carefree shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Carefree pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Carefree Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Carefree Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Carefree's price analysis, check to measure Carefree's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carefree is operating at the current time. Most of Carefree's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carefree's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carefree's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carefree to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.