Carefree Group Stock Price Prediction

CRFU Stock  USD 0.01  0.00  0.00%   
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Carefree's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

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Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Carefree's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Carefree Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Carefree hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Carefree Group from the perspective of Carefree response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Carefree to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Carefree because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Carefree after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.015  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Carefree Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.010.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Carefree. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Carefree's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Carefree's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Carefree Group.

Carefree After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Carefree at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Carefree or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Carefree, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Carefree Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Carefree's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Carefree's historical news coverage. Carefree's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 0.02, respectively. We have considered Carefree's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.01
0.01
After-hype Price
0.02
Upside
Carefree is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Carefree Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Carefree Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Carefree is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Carefree backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Carefree, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
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0 Events / Month
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In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
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Notes

Carefree Hype Timeline

Carefree Group is currently traded for 0.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Carefree is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Carefree is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.02. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Carefree Group had 1:10 split on the 11th of June 2008. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Carefree Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Carefree Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Carefree's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Carefree's future price movements. Getting to know how Carefree's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Carefree may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Carefree Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Carefree price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Carefree using various technical indicators. When you analyze Carefree charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Carefree Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Carefree stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Carefree Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Carefree based on analysis of Carefree hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Carefree's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Carefree's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Carefree

The number of cover stories for Carefree depends on current market conditions and Carefree's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Carefree is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Carefree's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Additional Tools for Carefree Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Carefree's price analysis, check to measure Carefree's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carefree is operating at the current time. Most of Carefree's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carefree's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carefree's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carefree to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.