Deutsche Brse Pink Sheet Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

DBOEF Stock  USD 239.19  0.73  0.30%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Deutsche Brse AG on the next trading day is expected to be 238.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 231.68. Deutsche Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Deutsche Brse's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Deutsche Brse AG is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Deutsche Brse 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 19th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Deutsche Brse AG on the next trading day is expected to be 238.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.06, mean absolute percentage error of 23.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 231.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Deutsche Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Deutsche Brse's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Deutsche Brse Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Deutsche Brse Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Deutsche Brse's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Deutsche Brse's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 235.81 and 240.20, respectively. We have considered Deutsche Brse's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
239.19
235.81
Downside
238.00
Expected Value
240.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Deutsche Brse pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Deutsche Brse pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.9091
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1887
MADMean absolute deviation4.0646
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0175
SAESum of the absolute errors231.68
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Deutsche Brse. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Deutsche Brse AG and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Deutsche Brse

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Deutsche Brse AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Deutsche Brse's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
237.72239.92242.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
195.26197.46263.91
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Deutsche Brse

For every potential investor in Deutsche, whether a beginner or expert, Deutsche Brse's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Deutsche Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Deutsche. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Deutsche Brse's price trends.

Deutsche Brse Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Deutsche Brse pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Deutsche Brse could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Deutsche Brse by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Deutsche Brse AG Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Deutsche Brse's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Deutsche Brse's current price.

Deutsche Brse Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Deutsche Brse pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Deutsche Brse shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Deutsche Brse pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Deutsche Brse AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Deutsche Brse Risk Indicators

The analysis of Deutsche Brse's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Deutsche Brse's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting deutsche pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Deutsche Pink Sheet

Deutsche Brse financial ratios help investors to determine whether Deutsche Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Deutsche with respect to the benefits of owning Deutsche Brse security.