Discount Investment Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

DISI Stock   465.60  2.30  0.50%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Discount Investment Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 476.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 38.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,579. Discount Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Discount Investment stock prices and determine the direction of Discount Investment Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Discount Investment's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Discount Investment Corp is based on a synthetically constructed Discount Investmentdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Discount Investment 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 17th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Discount Investment Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 476.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 38.51, mean absolute percentage error of 2,286, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,579.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Discount Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Discount Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Discount Investment Stock Forecast Pattern

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Discount Investment Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Discount Investment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Discount Investment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 474.28 and 479.47, respectively. We have considered Discount Investment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
465.60
474.28
Downside
476.88
Expected Value
479.47
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Discount Investment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Discount Investment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria89.0873
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -36.0804
MADMean absolute deviation38.5138
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0874
SAESum of the absolute errors1579.065
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Discount Investment Corp 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Discount Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Discount Investment Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
462.99465.60468.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
419.04483.92486.53
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Discount Investment

For every potential investor in Discount, whether a beginner or expert, Discount Investment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Discount Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Discount. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Discount Investment's price trends.

Discount Investment Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Discount Investment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Discount Investment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Discount Investment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Discount Investment Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Discount Investment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Discount Investment's current price.

Discount Investment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Discount Investment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Discount Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Discount Investment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Discount Investment Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Discount Investment Risk Indicators

The analysis of Discount Investment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Discount Investment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting discount stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Discount Stock

Discount Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Discount Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Discount with respect to the benefits of owning Discount Investment security.