Central Omega Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

DKFT Stock  IDR 226.00  4.00  1.74%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Central Omega Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 227.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 406.52. Central Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Central Omega works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Central Omega Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Central Omega Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 227.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.89, mean absolute percentage error of 112.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 406.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Central Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Central Omega's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Central Omega Stock Forecast Pattern

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Central Omega Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Central Omega's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Central Omega's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 221.28 and 232.93, respectively. We have considered Central Omega's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
226.00
221.28
Downside
227.10
Expected Value
232.93
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Central Omega stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Central Omega stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.2644
MADMean absolute deviation6.8902
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0362
SAESum of the absolute errors406.5243
When Central Omega Resources prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Central Omega Resources trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Central Omega observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Central Omega

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Central Omega Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
228.16234.00239.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
168.67174.51257.40
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Central Omega

For every potential investor in Central, whether a beginner or expert, Central Omega's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Central Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Central. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Central Omega's price trends.

Central Omega Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Central Omega stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Central Omega could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Central Omega by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Central Omega Resources Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Central Omega's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Central Omega's current price.

Central Omega Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Central Omega stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Central Omega shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Central Omega stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Central Omega Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Central Omega Risk Indicators

The analysis of Central Omega's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Central Omega's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting central stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Central Stock

Central Omega financial ratios help investors to determine whether Central Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Central with respect to the benefits of owning Central Omega security.