Roundhill China Etf Forecast - Simple Regression

DRAG Etf  USD 21.09  0.19  0.89%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Roundhill China Dragons on the next trading day is expected to be 20.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.63. Roundhill Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Roundhill China's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Roundhill China price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Roundhill China Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Roundhill China Dragons on the next trading day is expected to be 20.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54, mean absolute percentage error of 0.56, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Roundhill Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Roundhill China's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Roundhill China Etf Forecast Pattern

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Roundhill China Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Roundhill China's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Roundhill China's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.94 and 23.01, respectively. We have considered Roundhill China's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
21.09
20.48
Expected Value
23.01
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Roundhill China etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Roundhill China etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria86.2888
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5372
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0236
SAESum of the absolute errors23.635
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Roundhill China Dragons historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Roundhill China

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Roundhill China Dragons. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.3120.8423.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.3619.8922.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
20.9521.2621.57
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Roundhill China. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Roundhill China's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Roundhill China's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Roundhill China Dragons.

Other Forecasting Options for Roundhill China

For every potential investor in Roundhill, whether a beginner or expert, Roundhill China's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Roundhill Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Roundhill. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Roundhill China's price trends.

Roundhill China Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Roundhill China etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Roundhill China could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Roundhill China by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Roundhill China Dragons Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Roundhill China's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Roundhill China's current price.

Roundhill China Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Roundhill China etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Roundhill China shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Roundhill China etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Roundhill China Dragons entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Roundhill China Risk Indicators

The analysis of Roundhill China's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Roundhill China's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting roundhill etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Roundhill China Dragons is a strong investment it is important to analyze Roundhill China's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Roundhill China's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Roundhill Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Roundhill China to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
The market value of Roundhill China Dragons is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Roundhill that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Roundhill China's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Roundhill China's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Roundhill China's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Roundhill China's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Roundhill China's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Roundhill China is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Roundhill China's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.