Edenred SA Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

EDEN Stock  EUR 31.30  0.61  1.99%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Edenred SA on the next trading day is expected to be 30.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.57. Edenred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Edenred SA stock prices and determine the direction of Edenred SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Edenred SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Edenred SA is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Edenred SA 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Edenred SA on the next trading day is expected to be 30.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.80, mean absolute percentage error of 1.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.57.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Edenred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Edenred SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Edenred SA Stock Forecast Pattern

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Edenred SA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Edenred SA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Edenred SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.73 and 33.20, respectively. We have considered Edenred SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
31.30
30.46
Expected Value
33.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Edenred SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Edenred SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.0684
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2965
MADMean absolute deviation0.7995
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0252
SAESum of the absolute errors45.57
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Edenred SA. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Edenred SA and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Edenred SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Edenred SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.9430.6933.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.0326.7833.76
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Edenred SA

For every potential investor in Edenred, whether a beginner or expert, Edenred SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Edenred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Edenred. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Edenred SA's price trends.

Edenred SA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Edenred SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Edenred SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Edenred SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Edenred SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Edenred SA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Edenred SA's current price.

Edenred SA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Edenred SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Edenred SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Edenred SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Edenred SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Edenred SA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Edenred SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Edenred SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting edenred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Edenred Stock

Edenred SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Edenred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Edenred with respect to the benefits of owning Edenred SA security.