Nasmed Ozel Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

EGEPO Stock   26.30  0.82  3.02%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Nasmed Ozel Saglik on the next trading day is expected to be 26.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.27. Nasmed Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nasmed Ozel's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Nasmed Ozel is based on an artificially constructed time series of Nasmed Ozel daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Nasmed Ozel 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Nasmed Ozel Saglik on the next trading day is expected to be 26.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95, mean absolute percentage error of 1.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.27.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nasmed Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nasmed Ozel's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nasmed Ozel Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Nasmed OzelNasmed Ozel Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Nasmed Ozel Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nasmed Ozel's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nasmed Ozel's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.27 and 29.00, respectively. We have considered Nasmed Ozel's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.30
26.64
Expected Value
29.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nasmed Ozel stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nasmed Ozel stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.6673
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.6553
MADMean absolute deviation0.9484
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0434
SAESum of the absolute errors50.2675
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Nasmed Ozel Saglik 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Nasmed Ozel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nasmed Ozel Saglik. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.9326.3028.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.9120.2828.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
22.3625.2428.13
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Nasmed Ozel

For every potential investor in Nasmed, whether a beginner or expert, Nasmed Ozel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nasmed Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nasmed. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nasmed Ozel's price trends.

Nasmed Ozel Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nasmed Ozel stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nasmed Ozel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nasmed Ozel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nasmed Ozel Saglik Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nasmed Ozel's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nasmed Ozel's current price.

Nasmed Ozel Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nasmed Ozel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nasmed Ozel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nasmed Ozel stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nasmed Ozel Saglik entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nasmed Ozel Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nasmed Ozel's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nasmed Ozel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nasmed stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Other Information on Investing in Nasmed Stock

Nasmed Ozel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nasmed Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nasmed with respect to the benefits of owning Nasmed Ozel security.