El Mor Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ELMR Stock | 1,440 20.00 1.41% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of El Mor Electric Installation on the next trading day is expected to be 1,440 with a mean absolute deviation of 20.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,236. ELMR Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast El Mor stock prices and determine the direction of El Mor Electric Installation's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of El Mor's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
ELMR |
El Mor Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of El Mor Electric Installation on the next trading day is expected to be 1,440 with a mean absolute deviation of 20.60, mean absolute percentage error of 891.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,236.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ELMR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that El Mor's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
El Mor Stock Forecast Pattern
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El Mor Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting El Mor's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. El Mor's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,437 and 1,443, respectively. We have considered El Mor's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of El Mor stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent El Mor stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.065 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -7.0642 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 20.6042 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0176 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1236.25 |
Predictive Modules for El Mor
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as El Mor Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for El Mor
For every potential investor in ELMR, whether a beginner or expert, El Mor's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ELMR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ELMR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying El Mor's price trends.El Mor Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with El Mor stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of El Mor could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing El Mor by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
El Mor Electric Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of El Mor's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of El Mor's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
El Mor Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how El Mor stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading El Mor shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying El Mor stock market strength indicators, traders can identify El Mor Electric Installation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
El Mor Risk Indicators
The analysis of El Mor's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in El Mor's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting elmr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.8 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.41 | |||
| Variance | 5.79 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.99 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.23 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.34) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in ELMR Stock
El Mor financial ratios help investors to determine whether ELMR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ELMR with respect to the benefits of owning El Mor security.