Eisai Pink Sheet Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

ESALF Stock  USD 28.50  0.02  0.07%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Eisai Co on the next trading day is expected to be 29.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 84.77. Eisai Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Eisai's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Eisai Co is based on a synthetically constructed Eisaidaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Eisai 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 18th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Eisai Co on the next trading day is expected to be 29.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.07, mean absolute percentage error of 5.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 84.77.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eisai Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eisai's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Eisai Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Eisai Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Eisai's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eisai's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.90 and 32.31, respectively. We have considered Eisai's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
28.50
29.60
Expected Value
32.31
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eisai pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eisai pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria82.9646
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.8716
MADMean absolute deviation2.0677
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0662
SAESum of the absolute errors84.7745
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Eisai 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Eisai

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eisai. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.7928.5031.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.3126.0228.73
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Eisai

For every potential investor in Eisai, whether a beginner or expert, Eisai's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eisai Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eisai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eisai's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Eisai Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Eisai's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Eisai's current price.

Eisai Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eisai pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eisai shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eisai pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Eisai Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Eisai Risk Indicators

The analysis of Eisai's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eisai's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eisai pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Eisai Pink Sheet

Eisai financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eisai Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eisai with respect to the benefits of owning Eisai security.