Fine Organic Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

FINEORG Stock   5,198  17.30  0.33%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Fine Organic Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 5,108 with a mean absolute deviation of 156.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8,278. Fine Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Fine Organic's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At this time, Fine Organic's Total Stockholder Equity is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Fine Organic's current Current Deferred Revenue is estimated to increase to about 195 M, while Total Current Liabilities is projected to decrease to roughly 1.6 B.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Fine Organic is based on an artificially constructed time series of Fine Organic daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Fine Organic 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Fine Organic Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 5,108 with a mean absolute deviation of 156.19, mean absolute percentage error of 36,375, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8,278.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fine Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fine Organic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fine Organic Stock Forecast Pattern

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Fine Organic Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fine Organic's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fine Organic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5,105 and 5,110, respectively. We have considered Fine Organic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5,198
5,108
Expected Value
5,110
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fine Organic stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fine Organic stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.9091
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 11.6389
MADMean absolute deviation156.1922
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0314
SAESum of the absolute errors8278.1875
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Fine Organic Industries 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Fine Organic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fine Organic Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,6785,2085,211
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5,1115,1145,718
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
4,5734,9555,338
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
35.7537.0837.70
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Fine Organic

For every potential investor in Fine, whether a beginner or expert, Fine Organic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fine Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fine. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fine Organic's price trends.

Fine Organic Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fine Organic stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fine Organic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fine Organic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fine Organic Industries Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fine Organic's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fine Organic's current price.

Fine Organic Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fine Organic stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fine Organic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fine Organic stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fine Organic Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fine Organic Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fine Organic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fine Organic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fine stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Fine Stock

Fine Organic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fine Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fine with respect to the benefits of owning Fine Organic security.