Hua Hong Pink Sheet Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

HHUSF Stock  USD 3.43  0.00  0.00%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hua Hong Semiconductor on the next trading day is expected to be 2.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.04. Hua Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hua Hong's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Hua Hong Semiconductor is based on a synthetically constructed Hua Hongdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Hua Hong 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 18th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hua Hong Semiconductor on the next trading day is expected to be 2.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hua Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hua Hong's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hua Hong Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Hua Hong Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hua Hong's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hua Hong's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 12.12, respectively. We have considered Hua Hong's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.43
2.91
Expected Value
12.12
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hua Hong pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hua Hong pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria79.0982
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1112
MADMean absolute deviation0.2694
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0908
SAESum of the absolute errors11.0435
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Hua Hong Semiconductor 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Hua Hong

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hua Hong Semiconductor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hua Hong's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.173.4312.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.183.5912.80
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Hua Hong

For every potential investor in Hua, whether a beginner or expert, Hua Hong's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hua Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hua. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hua Hong's price trends.

Hua Hong Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hua Hong pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hua Hong could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hua Hong by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hua Hong Semiconductor Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hua Hong's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hua Hong's current price.

Hua Hong Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hua Hong pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hua Hong shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hua Hong pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Hua Hong Semiconductor entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hua Hong Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hua Hong's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hua Hong's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hua pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Hua Pink Sheet

Hua Hong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hua Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hua with respect to the benefits of owning Hua Hong security.