Hubbell Incorporated Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

HUEC Stock  EUR 432.00  2.00  0.46%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hubbell Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 432.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 457.82. Hubbell Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hubbell Incorporated's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Hubbell Incorporated is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Hubbell Incorporated 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hubbell Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 432.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.03, mean absolute percentage error of 126.58, and the sum of the absolute errors of 457.82.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hubbell Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hubbell Incorporated's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hubbell Incorporated Stock Forecast Pattern

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Hubbell Incorporated Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hubbell Incorporated's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hubbell Incorporated's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 430.67 and 434.33, respectively. We have considered Hubbell Incorporated's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
432.00
430.67
Downside
432.50
Expected Value
434.33
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hubbell Incorporated stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hubbell Incorporated stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.5998
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -3.3544
MADMean absolute deviation8.0319
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0196
SAESum of the absolute errors457.8175
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Hubbell Incorporated. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Hubbell Incorporated and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Hubbell Incorporated

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hubbell Incorporated. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hubbell Incorporated's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
430.17432.00433.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
388.80443.78445.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
419.71428.75437.80
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Hubbell Incorporated

For every potential investor in Hubbell, whether a beginner or expert, Hubbell Incorporated's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hubbell Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hubbell. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hubbell Incorporated's price trends.

Hubbell Incorporated Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hubbell Incorporated stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hubbell Incorporated could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hubbell Incorporated by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hubbell Incorporated Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hubbell Incorporated's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hubbell Incorporated's current price.

Hubbell Incorporated Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hubbell Incorporated stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hubbell Incorporated shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hubbell Incorporated stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hubbell Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hubbell Incorporated Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hubbell Incorporated's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hubbell Incorporated's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hubbell stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Hubbell Stock

Hubbell Incorporated financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hubbell Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hubbell with respect to the benefits of owning Hubbell Incorporated security.