JCK Hospitality Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| JCKH Stock | 0.03 0.01 50.00% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of JCK Hospitality Public on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.17. JCK Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
JCK |
JCK Hospitality Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of JCK Hospitality Public on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000017, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JCK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JCK Hospitality's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
JCK Hospitality Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest JCK Hospitality | JCK Hospitality Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
JCK Hospitality Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting JCK Hospitality's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JCK Hospitality's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0003 and 24.53, respectively. We have considered JCK Hospitality's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JCK Hospitality stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JCK Hospitality stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 105.3075 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -4.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0028 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.123 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.1662 |
Predictive Modules for JCK Hospitality
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JCK Hospitality Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for JCK Hospitality
For every potential investor in JCK, whether a beginner or expert, JCK Hospitality's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JCK Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JCK. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JCK Hospitality's price trends.JCK Hospitality Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JCK Hospitality stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JCK Hospitality could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JCK Hospitality by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
JCK Hospitality Public Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of JCK Hospitality's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of JCK Hospitality's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
JCK Hospitality Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JCK Hospitality stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JCK Hospitality shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JCK Hospitality stock market strength indicators, traders can identify JCK Hospitality Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
JCK Hospitality Risk Indicators
The analysis of JCK Hospitality's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JCK Hospitality's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jck stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 13.02 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 13.33 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 23.97 | |||
| Variance | 574.72 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1468.25 | |||
| Semi Variance | 177.74 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (56.25) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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JCK Hospitality financial ratios help investors to determine whether JCK Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JCK with respect to the benefits of owning JCK Hospitality security.