Mark Dynamics Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MARK Stock | IDR 1,060 5.00 0.47% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mark Dynamics Indonesia on the next trading day is expected to be 1,060 with a mean absolute deviation of 21.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,268. Mark Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Mark |
Mark Dynamics Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mark Dynamics Indonesia on the next trading day is expected to be 1,060 with a mean absolute deviation of 21.14, mean absolute percentage error of 850.66, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,268.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mark Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mark Dynamics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mark Dynamics Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Mark Dynamics | Mark Dynamics Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Mark Dynamics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Mark Dynamics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mark Dynamics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,057 and 1,063, respectively. We have considered Mark Dynamics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mark Dynamics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mark Dynamics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.0186 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -2.7881 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 21.1385 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.02 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1268.3077 |
Predictive Modules for Mark Dynamics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mark Dynamics Indonesia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Mark Dynamics
For every potential investor in Mark, whether a beginner or expert, Mark Dynamics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mark Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mark. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mark Dynamics' price trends.Mark Dynamics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mark Dynamics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mark Dynamics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mark Dynamics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mark Dynamics Indonesia Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mark Dynamics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mark Dynamics' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Mark Dynamics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mark Dynamics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mark Dynamics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mark Dynamics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mark Dynamics Indonesia entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0187 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.25) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1060.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1060.0 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 20.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.50) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (5.00) |
Mark Dynamics Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mark Dynamics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mark Dynamics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mark stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.77 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.83 | |||
| Variance | 7.99 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.67 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.65 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.04) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Mark Dynamics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mark Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mark with respect to the benefits of owning Mark Dynamics security.