Monex SAB Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

MONEXB Stock  MXN 20.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Monex SAB de on the next trading day is expected to be 20.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Monex Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Monex SAB stock prices and determine the direction of Monex SAB de's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Monex SAB's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Monex SAB - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Monex SAB prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Monex SAB price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Monex SAB de.

Monex SAB Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Monex SAB de on the next trading day is expected to be 20.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Monex Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Monex SAB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Monex SAB Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Monex SABMonex SAB Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Monex SAB Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Monex SAB's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Monex SAB's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.00 and 20.00, respectively. We have considered Monex SAB's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
20.00
20.00
Expected Value
20.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Monex SAB stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Monex SAB stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Monex SAB observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Monex SAB de observations.

Predictive Modules for Monex SAB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Monex SAB de. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Monex SAB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.0020.0020.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.0020.0020.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Monex SAB

For every potential investor in Monex, whether a beginner or expert, Monex SAB's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Monex Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Monex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Monex SAB's price trends.

Monex SAB Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Monex SAB stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Monex SAB could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Monex SAB by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Monex SAB de Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Monex SAB's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Monex SAB's current price.

Monex SAB Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Monex SAB stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Monex SAB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Monex SAB stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Monex SAB de entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Monex Stock

Monex SAB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Monex Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Monex with respect to the benefits of owning Monex SAB security.