OK ZIMBABWE Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

OKZ Stock   53.00  1.00  1.85%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of OK ZIMBABWE LIMITED on the next trading day is expected to be 58.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 271.70. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast OK ZIMBABWE's stock prices and determine the direction of OK ZIMBABWE LIMITED's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of OK ZIMBABWE's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through OK ZIMBABWE price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

OK ZIMBABWE Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of OK ZIMBABWE LIMITED on the next trading day is expected to be 58.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.45, mean absolute percentage error of 36.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 271.70.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict OKZ Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that OK ZIMBABWE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

OK ZIMBABWE Stock Forecast Pattern

OK ZIMBABWE Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting OK ZIMBABWE's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. OK ZIMBABWE's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 53.53 and 63.62, respectively. We have considered OK ZIMBABWE's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
53.00
58.58
Expected Value
63.62
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of OK ZIMBABWE stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent OK ZIMBABWE stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.6989
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation4.4542
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0579
SAESum of the absolute errors271.7035
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as OK ZIMBABWE LIMITED historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for OK ZIMBABWE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OK ZIMBABWE LIMITED. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of OK ZIMBABWE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

Other Forecasting Options for OK ZIMBABWE

For every potential investor in OKZ, whether a beginner or expert, OK ZIMBABWE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. OKZ Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in OKZ. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying OK ZIMBABWE's price trends.

OK ZIMBABWE Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with OK ZIMBABWE stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of OK ZIMBABWE could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OK ZIMBABWE by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

OK ZIMBABWE LIMITED Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of OK ZIMBABWE's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of OK ZIMBABWE's current price.

OK ZIMBABWE Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how OK ZIMBABWE stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading OK ZIMBABWE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying OK ZIMBABWE stock market strength indicators, traders can identify OK ZIMBABWE LIMITED entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

OK ZIMBABWE Risk Indicators

The analysis of OK ZIMBABWE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in OK ZIMBABWE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting okz stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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