Dimed SA Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

PNVL3 Stock  BRL 8.70  0.02  0.23%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Dimed SA Distribuidora on the next trading day is expected to be 8.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.71. Dimed Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Dimed SA is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Dimed SA Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Dimed SA Distribuidora on the next trading day is expected to be 8.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.71.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dimed Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dimed SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dimed SA Stock Forecast Pattern

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Dimed SA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dimed SA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dimed SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.25 and 10.15, respectively. We have considered Dimed SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.70
8.70
Expected Value
10.15
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dimed SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dimed SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.5332
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0425
MADMean absolute deviation0.1137
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0119
SAESum of the absolute errors6.71
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Dimed SA Distribuidora price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Dimed SA. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Dimed SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dimed SA Distribuidora. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.258.7010.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.237.689.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dimed SA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dimed SA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dimed SA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dimed SA Distribuidora.

Other Forecasting Options for Dimed SA

For every potential investor in Dimed, whether a beginner or expert, Dimed SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dimed Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dimed. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dimed SA's price trends.

Dimed SA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dimed SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dimed SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dimed SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dimed SA Distribuidora Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dimed SA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dimed SA's current price.

Dimed SA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dimed SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dimed SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dimed SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dimed SA Distribuidora entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dimed SA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dimed SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dimed SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dimed stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Dimed Stock Analysis

When running Dimed SA's price analysis, check to measure Dimed SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dimed SA is operating at the current time. Most of Dimed SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dimed SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dimed SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dimed SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.