Princeton Premium Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Moving Average

PPFAX Fund  USD 11.76  0.01  0.09%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Princeton Premium on the next trading day is expected to be 11.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.50. Princeton Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Princeton Premium is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Princeton Premium Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Princeton Premium on the next trading day is expected to be 11.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Princeton Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Princeton Premium's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Princeton Premium Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Sep 30Oct 8Oct 16Oct 24Nov 1Nov 11Nov 19Nov 27Dec 6Dec 1511.7011.7511.8011.85
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Princeton Premium Princeton Premium forecast
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Princeton Premium Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Princeton Premium's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Princeton Premium's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.63 and 11.89, respectively. We have considered Princeton Premium's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.76
11.76
Expected Value
11.89
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Princeton Premium mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Princeton Premium mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.3952
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0023
MADMean absolute deviation0.0086
MAPEMean absolute percentage error7.0E-4
SAESum of the absolute errors0.505
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Princeton Premium price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Princeton Premium. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Princeton Premium

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Princeton Premium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.6311.7611.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6311.7611.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.7411.8211.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Princeton Premium. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Princeton Premium's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Princeton Premium's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Princeton Premium.

Other Forecasting Options for Princeton Premium

For every potential investor in Princeton, whether a beginner or expert, Princeton Premium's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Princeton Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Princeton. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Princeton Premium's price trends.

Princeton Premium Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Princeton Premium mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Princeton Premium could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Princeton Premium by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Princeton Premium Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Princeton Premium's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Princeton Premium's current price.

Princeton Premium Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Princeton Premium mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Princeton Premium shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Princeton Premium mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Princeton Premium entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Princeton Premium Risk Indicators

The analysis of Princeton Premium's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Princeton Premium's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting princeton mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Princeton Mutual Fund

Princeton Premium financial ratios help investors to determine whether Princeton Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Princeton with respect to the benefits of owning Princeton Premium security.
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