Pyridam Farma Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

A naive forecasting model for Pyridam Farma is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Pyridam Farma Tbk value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Pyridam Farma Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Pyridam Farma Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 239.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.96, mean absolute percentage error of 183.94, and the sum of the absolute errors of 607.57.

Pyridam Farma Stock Forecast Pattern

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Pyridam Farma Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pyridam Farma stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pyridam Farma stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Pyridam Farma Tbk. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Pyridam Farma. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Pyridam Farma

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pyridam Farma Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 229.83 236.00 242.17 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 233.58 239.75 245.92 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 224.45 267.13 309.81 Details

Other Forecasting Options for Pyridam Farma

For every potential investor in Pyridam, whether a beginner or expert, Pyridam Farma's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pyridam Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pyridam. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pyridam Farma's price trends.

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Pyridam Farma Tbk Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pyridam Farma's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pyridam Farma's current price.

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