Queenco L Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

QNCO Stock  ILA 744.90  5.10  0.68%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Queenco L on the next trading day is expected to be 770.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 13.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 802.92. Queenco Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Queenco L stock prices and determine the direction of Queenco L's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Queenco L's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Queenco L - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Queenco L prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Queenco L price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Queenco L.

Queenco L Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Queenco L on the next trading day is expected to be 770.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 13.61, mean absolute percentage error of 570.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 802.92.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Queenco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Queenco L's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Queenco L Stock Forecast Pattern

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Queenco L Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Queenco L's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Queenco L's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 765.87 and 776.09, respectively. We have considered Queenco L's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
744.90
765.87
Downside
770.98
Expected Value
776.09
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Queenco L stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Queenco L stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -2.2415
MADMean absolute deviation13.6088
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0281
SAESum of the absolute errors802.9196
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Queenco L observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Queenco L observations.

Predictive Modules for Queenco L

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Queenco L. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
739.79744.90750.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
670.41764.29769.40
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Queenco L

For every potential investor in Queenco, whether a beginner or expert, Queenco L's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Queenco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Queenco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Queenco L's price trends.

Queenco L Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Queenco L stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Queenco L could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Queenco L by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Queenco L Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Queenco L's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Queenco L's current price.

Queenco L Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Queenco L stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Queenco L shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Queenco L stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Queenco L entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Queenco L Risk Indicators

The analysis of Queenco L's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Queenco L's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting queenco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Queenco Stock

Queenco L financial ratios help investors to determine whether Queenco Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Queenco with respect to the benefits of owning Queenco L security.