Rimoni Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

RIMO Stock  ILA 5,090  52.00  1.01%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rimoni on the next trading day is expected to be 5,107 with a mean absolute deviation of 80.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,772. Rimoni Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Rimoni stock prices and determine the direction of Rimoni's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Rimoni's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Rimoni - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Rimoni prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Rimoni price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Rimoni.

Rimoni Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rimoni on the next trading day is expected to be 5,107 with a mean absolute deviation of 80.89, mean absolute percentage error of 12,155, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,772.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rimoni Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rimoni's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Rimoni Stock Forecast Pattern

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Rimoni Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Rimoni's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rimoni's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5,104 and 5,109, respectively. We have considered Rimoni's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5,090
5,107
Expected Value
5,109
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rimoni stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rimoni stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -14.8366
MADMean absolute deviation80.8862
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0173
SAESum of the absolute errors4772.2844
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Rimoni observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Rimoni observations.

Predictive Modules for Rimoni

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rimoni. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,0875,0905,093
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,9604,9625,599
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
4,4705,0245,578
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Rimoni

For every potential investor in Rimoni, whether a beginner or expert, Rimoni's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rimoni Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rimoni. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rimoni's price trends.

Rimoni Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rimoni stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rimoni could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rimoni by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Rimoni Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Rimoni's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Rimoni's current price.

Rimoni Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rimoni stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rimoni shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rimoni stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rimoni entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Rimoni Risk Indicators

The analysis of Rimoni's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rimoni's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rimoni stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Rimoni Stock

Rimoni financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rimoni Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rimoni with respect to the benefits of owning Rimoni security.