Tiger Brands Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

TBS Stock   25,267  408.00  1.59%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Tiger Brands on the next trading day is expected to be 24,482 with a mean absolute deviation of 315.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19,260. Tiger Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Tiger Brands stock prices and determine the direction of Tiger Brands's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Tiger Brands' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Tiger Brands price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Tiger Brands Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Tiger Brands on the next trading day is expected to be 24,482 with a mean absolute deviation of 315.75, mean absolute percentage error of 162,298, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19,260.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tiger Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tiger Brands' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tiger Brands Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Tiger BrandsTiger Brands Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Tiger Brands Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tiger Brands' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tiger Brands' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24,481 and 24,483, respectively. We have considered Tiger Brands' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
25,267
24,481
Downside
24,482
Expected Value
24,483
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tiger Brands stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tiger Brands stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria130.1077
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation315.7457
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.013
SAESum of the absolute errors19260.49
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Tiger Brands historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Tiger Brands

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tiger Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25,26625,26725,268
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20,89620,89727,794
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
23,17424,22625,278
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Tiger Brands

For every potential investor in Tiger, whether a beginner or expert, Tiger Brands' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tiger Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tiger. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tiger Brands' price trends.

Tiger Brands Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tiger Brands stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tiger Brands could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tiger Brands by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tiger Brands Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Tiger Brands' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Tiger Brands' current price.

Tiger Brands Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tiger Brands stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tiger Brands shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tiger Brands stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tiger Brands entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Tiger Brands Risk Indicators

The analysis of Tiger Brands' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tiger Brands' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tiger stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Tiger Stock

Tiger Brands financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tiger Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tiger with respect to the benefits of owning Tiger Brands security.