International Equity Mutual Fund Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

TFEQX Fund  USD 10.24  0.02  0.20%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of International Equity Series on the next trading day is expected to be 11.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.19. International Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for International Equity Series is based on a synthetically constructed International Equitydaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

International Equity 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of International Equity Series on the next trading day is expected to be 11.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32, mean absolute percentage error of 0.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.19.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict International Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that International Equity's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

International Equity Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest International EquityInternational Equity Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

International Equity Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting International Equity's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. International Equity's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.94 and 13.54, respectively. We have considered International Equity's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.24
11.74
Expected Value
13.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of International Equity mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent International Equity mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria80.2804
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2632
MADMean absolute deviation0.3218
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0293
SAESum of the absolute errors13.1945
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. International Equity 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for International Equity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as International Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.4410.2412.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.679.4711.27
Details

Other Forecasting Options for International Equity

For every potential investor in International, whether a beginner or expert, International Equity's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. International Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in International. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying International Equity's price trends.

International Equity Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with International Equity mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of International Equity could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing International Equity by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

International Equity Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of International Equity's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of International Equity's current price.

International Equity Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how International Equity mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading International Equity shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying International Equity mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify International Equity Series entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

International Equity Risk Indicators

The analysis of International Equity's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in International Equity's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting international mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in International Mutual Fund

International Equity financial ratios help investors to determine whether International Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in International with respect to the benefits of owning International Equity security.
Top Crypto Exchanges
Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios