Tandem Diabetes Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| TNDM Stock | USD 32.51 1.88 6.14% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tandem Diabetes Care on the next trading day is expected to be 32.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.27. Tandem Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Tandem Diabetes' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Tandem Diabetes' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Tandem Diabetes fundamentals over time.
Tandem |
Open Interest Against 2024-12-20 Tandem Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Tandem Diabetes' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Tandem Diabetes' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Tandem Diabetes stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Tandem Diabetes' open interest, investors have to compare it to Tandem Diabetes' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Tandem Diabetes is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Tandem. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Tandem Diabetes Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tandem Diabetes Care on the next trading day is expected to be 32.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90, mean absolute percentage error of 1.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.27.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tandem Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tandem Diabetes' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tandem Diabetes Stock Forecast Pattern
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Tandem Diabetes Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Tandem Diabetes' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tandem Diabetes' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.29 and 35.73, respectively. We have considered Tandem Diabetes' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tandem Diabetes stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tandem Diabetes stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.5392 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1648 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9045 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.026 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 54.27 |
Predictive Modules for Tandem Diabetes
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tandem Diabetes Care. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tandem Diabetes' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Tandem Diabetes
For every potential investor in Tandem, whether a beginner or expert, Tandem Diabetes' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tandem Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tandem. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tandem Diabetes' price trends.Tandem Diabetes Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tandem Diabetes stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tandem Diabetes could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tandem Diabetes by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tandem Diabetes Care Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Tandem Diabetes' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Tandem Diabetes' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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Tandem Diabetes Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tandem Diabetes stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tandem Diabetes shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tandem Diabetes stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tandem Diabetes Care entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 83602.91 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.062147 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.06 | |||
| Day Median Price | 32.77 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 32.68 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.68 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.88 |
Tandem Diabetes Risk Indicators
The analysis of Tandem Diabetes' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tandem Diabetes' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tandem stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.1 | |||
| Variance | 9.63 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tandem Diabetes. If investors know Tandem will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tandem Diabetes listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.37) | Earnings Share (1.94) | Revenue Per Share 13.082 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.314 | Return On Assets (0.1) |
The market value of Tandem Diabetes Care is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tandem that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tandem Diabetes' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tandem Diabetes' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tandem Diabetes' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tandem Diabetes' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tandem Diabetes' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tandem Diabetes is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tandem Diabetes' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.