TTM Technologies Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

TT1 Stock  EUR 23.40  0.20  0.85%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TTM Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 23.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.68. TTM Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TTM Technologies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for TTM Technologies - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When TTM Technologies prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in TTM Technologies price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of TTM Technologies.

TTM Technologies Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TTM Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 23.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38, mean absolute percentage error of 0.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TTM Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TTM Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TTM Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern

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TTM Technologies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TTM Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TTM Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.80 and 25.97, respectively. We have considered TTM Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
23.40
23.38
Expected Value
25.97
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TTM Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TTM Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0392
MADMean absolute deviation0.3845
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0188
SAESum of the absolute errors22.6847
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past TTM Technologies observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older TTM Technologies observations.

Predictive Modules for TTM Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TTM Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.8123.4025.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.3425.9328.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
22.0223.3324.64
Details

Other Forecasting Options for TTM Technologies

For every potential investor in TTM, whether a beginner or expert, TTM Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TTM Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TTM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TTM Technologies' price trends.

TTM Technologies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TTM Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TTM Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TTM Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TTM Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TTM Technologies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TTM Technologies' current price.

TTM Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TTM Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TTM Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TTM Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TTM Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TTM Technologies Risk Indicators

The analysis of TTM Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TTM Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ttm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in TTM Stock

When determining whether TTM Technologies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of TTM Technologies' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ttm Technologies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ttm Technologies Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TTM Technologies to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in TTM Stock please use our How to Invest in TTM Technologies guide.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TTM Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TTM Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TTM Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.