WHA Industrial Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

WHAIR Stock   6.60  0.05  0.76%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of WHA Industrial Leasehold on the next trading day is expected to be 6.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.72. WHA Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast WHA Industrial stock prices and determine the direction of WHA Industrial Leasehold's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of WHA Industrial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for WHA Industrial - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When WHA Industrial prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in WHA Industrial price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of WHA Industrial Leasehold.

WHA Industrial Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of WHA Industrial Leasehold on the next trading day is expected to be 6.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.72.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict WHA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that WHA Industrial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

WHA Industrial Stock Forecast Pattern

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WHA Industrial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting WHA Industrial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. WHA Industrial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.52 and 7.71, respectively. We have considered WHA Industrial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.60
6.62
Expected Value
7.71
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of WHA Industrial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent WHA Industrial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0098
MADMean absolute deviation0.0631
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.01
SAESum of the absolute errors3.7211
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past WHA Industrial observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older WHA Industrial Leasehold observations.

Predictive Modules for WHA Industrial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WHA Industrial Leasehold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.506.607.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.527.628.72
Details

Other Forecasting Options for WHA Industrial

For every potential investor in WHA, whether a beginner or expert, WHA Industrial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. WHA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in WHA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying WHA Industrial's price trends.

WHA Industrial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with WHA Industrial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of WHA Industrial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing WHA Industrial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

WHA Industrial Leasehold Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of WHA Industrial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of WHA Industrial's current price.

WHA Industrial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how WHA Industrial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading WHA Industrial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying WHA Industrial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify WHA Industrial Leasehold entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

WHA Industrial Risk Indicators

The analysis of WHA Industrial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in WHA Industrial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wha stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in WHA Stock

WHA Industrial financial ratios help investors to determine whether WHA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in WHA with respect to the benefits of owning WHA Industrial security.