Sanyang (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 67.60

2206 Stock  TWD 67.60  0.30  0.44%   
Sanyang's future price is the expected price of Sanyang instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sanyang Motor Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sanyang Backtesting, Sanyang Valuation, Sanyang Correlation, Sanyang Hype Analysis, Sanyang Volatility, Sanyang History as well as Sanyang Performance.
  
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Sanyang Target Price Odds to finish over 67.60

The tendency of Sanyang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 67.60 90 days 67.60 
over 95.61
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sanyang to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.61 (This Sanyang Motor Co probability density function shows the probability of Sanyang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sanyang Motor Co has a beta of -0.27. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sanyang are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sanyang Motor Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sanyang Motor Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sanyang Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sanyang

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sanyang Motor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.4067.6068.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
57.0158.2174.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
66.1367.3368.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
67.0969.6572.21
Details

Sanyang Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sanyang is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sanyang's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sanyang Motor Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sanyang within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.27
σ
Overall volatility
1.98
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Sanyang Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sanyang for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sanyang Motor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sanyang Motor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sanyang Motor has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Sanyang Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sanyang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sanyang's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sanyang's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding792.3 M

Sanyang Technical Analysis

Sanyang's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sanyang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sanyang Motor Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sanyang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sanyang Predictive Forecast Models

Sanyang's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sanyang's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sanyang's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sanyang Motor

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sanyang for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sanyang Motor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sanyang Motor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sanyang Motor has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Sanyang Stock Analysis

When running Sanyang's price analysis, check to measure Sanyang's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sanyang is operating at the current time. Most of Sanyang's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sanyang's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sanyang's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sanyang to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.