Rai Way (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.02
| 4RW Stock | EUR 5.02 0.10 1.95% |
Rai |
Rai Way Target Price Odds to finish below 4.02
The tendency of Rai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 4.02 or more in 90 days |
| 5.02 | 90 days | 4.02 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rai Way to drop to € 4.02 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Rai Way SpA probability density function shows the probability of Rai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rai Way SpA price to stay between € 4.02 and its current price of €5.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.85 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Rai Way has a beta of 0.15. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Rai Way average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Rai Way SpA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Rai Way SpA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Rai Way Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Rai Way
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rai Way SpA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Rai Way Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rai Way is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rai Way's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rai Way SpA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rai Way within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Rai Way Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rai Way for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rai Way SpA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Rai Way SpA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Rai Way SpA has accumulated 69 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 31.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Rai Way SpA has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Rai Way until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Rai Way's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Rai Way SpA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Rai to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Rai Way's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 65.0% of Rai Way shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Rai Way Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rai Way's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rai Way's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 268.4 M |
Rai Way Technical Analysis
Rai Way's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rai Way SpA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Rai Way Predictive Forecast Models
Rai Way's time-series forecasting models is one of many Rai Way's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rai Way's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Rai Way SpA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Rai Way for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rai Way SpA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Rai Way SpA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Rai Way SpA has accumulated 69 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 31.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Rai Way SpA has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Rai Way until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Rai Way's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Rai Way SpA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Rai to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Rai Way's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 65.0% of Rai Way shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Rai Stock
Rai Way financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rai with respect to the benefits of owning Rai Way security.