Guodian Nanjing (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.85
| 600268 Stock | 6.85 0.15 2.14% |
Guodian |
Guodian Nanjing Target Price Odds to finish over 6.85
The tendency of Guodian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 6.85 | 90 days | 6.85 | about 37.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guodian Nanjing to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 37.81 (This Guodian Nanjing Automation probability density function shows the probability of Guodian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Guodian Nanjing Automation has a beta of -0.29. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Guodian Nanjing are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Guodian Nanjing Automation is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Guodian Nanjing Automation has an alpha of 0.3518, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Guodian Nanjing Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Guodian Nanjing
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guodian Nanjing Auto. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Guodian Nanjing Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guodian Nanjing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guodian Nanjing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guodian Nanjing Automation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guodian Nanjing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Guodian Nanjing Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guodian Nanjing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guodian Nanjing Auto can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guodian Nanjing Auto is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: While shareholders of Guodian Nanjing Automation are in the black over 5 years, those who bought a week ago arent so fortunate - Simply Wall St |
Guodian Nanjing Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Guodian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Guodian Nanjing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guodian Nanjing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 846.9 M |
Guodian Nanjing Technical Analysis
Guodian Nanjing's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Guodian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Guodian Nanjing Automation. In general, you should focus on analyzing Guodian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Guodian Nanjing Predictive Forecast Models
Guodian Nanjing's time-series forecasting models is one of many Guodian Nanjing's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Guodian Nanjing's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Guodian Nanjing Auto
Checking the ongoing alerts about Guodian Nanjing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Guodian Nanjing Auto help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Guodian Nanjing Auto is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: While shareholders of Guodian Nanjing Automation are in the black over 5 years, those who bought a week ago arent so fortunate - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Guodian Stock
Guodian Nanjing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guodian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guodian with respect to the benefits of owning Guodian Nanjing security.