Shandong Homey (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.55

600467 Stock   2.55  0.06  2.30%   
Shandong Homey's future price is the expected price of Shandong Homey instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Shandong Homey Aquatic performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Shandong Homey Backtesting, Shandong Homey Valuation, Shandong Homey Correlation, Shandong Homey Hype Analysis, Shandong Homey Volatility, Shandong Homey History as well as Shandong Homey Performance.
  
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Shandong Homey Target Price Odds to finish over 2.55

The tendency of Shandong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.55 90 days 2.55 
about 7.71
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shandong Homey to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.71 (This Shandong Homey Aquatic probability density function shows the probability of Shandong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shandong Homey Aquatic has a beta of -0.49. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Shandong Homey are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Shandong Homey Aquatic is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Shandong Homey Aquatic has an alpha of 1.0131, implying that it can generate a 1.01 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Shandong Homey Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Shandong Homey

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shandong Homey Aquatic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.727.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.102.036.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.667.33
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.010.010.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shandong Homey. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shandong Homey's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shandong Homey's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shandong Homey Aquatic.

Shandong Homey Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shandong Homey is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shandong Homey's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shandong Homey Aquatic, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shandong Homey within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.49
σ
Overall volatility
0.40
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Shandong Homey Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shandong Homey for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shandong Homey Aquatic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shandong Homey appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 41.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Shandong Homey Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shandong Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shandong Homey's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shandong Homey's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 B

Shandong Homey Technical Analysis

Shandong Homey's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shandong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shandong Homey Aquatic. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shandong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Shandong Homey Predictive Forecast Models

Shandong Homey's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shandong Homey's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shandong Homey's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Shandong Homey Aquatic

Checking the ongoing alerts about Shandong Homey for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shandong Homey Aquatic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shandong Homey appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 41.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Shandong Stock

Shandong Homey financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shandong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shandong with respect to the benefits of owning Shandong Homey security.