GrandTech (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 53.05
| 6123 Stock | TWD 56.00 0.20 0.36% |
GrandTech |
GrandTech Target Price Odds to finish below 53.05
The tendency of GrandTech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 53.05 or more in 90 days |
| 56.00 | 90 days | 53.05 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GrandTech to drop to NT$ 53.05 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This GrandTech CG Systems probability density function shows the probability of GrandTech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GrandTech CG Systems price to stay between NT$ 53.05 and its current price of NT$56.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GrandTech CG Systems has a beta of -0.0065. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding GrandTech are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, GrandTech CG Systems is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GrandTech CG Systems has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. GrandTech Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GrandTech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GrandTech CG Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GrandTech Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GrandTech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GrandTech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GrandTech CG Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GrandTech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0065 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
GrandTech Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GrandTech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GrandTech CG Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GrandTech CG Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
GrandTech Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GrandTech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GrandTech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GrandTech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 57.6 M |
GrandTech Technical Analysis
GrandTech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GrandTech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GrandTech CG Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing GrandTech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GrandTech Predictive Forecast Models
GrandTech's time-series forecasting models is one of many GrandTech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GrandTech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GrandTech CG Systems
Checking the ongoing alerts about GrandTech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GrandTech CG Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GrandTech CG Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for GrandTech Stock Analysis
When running GrandTech's price analysis, check to measure GrandTech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GrandTech is operating at the current time. Most of GrandTech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GrandTech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GrandTech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GrandTech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.