Alpha Cognition Common Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.75
| ACOG Stock | 5.13 0.06 1.18% |
Alpha |
Alpha Cognition Target Price Odds to finish below 5.75
The tendency of Alpha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 5.75 after 90 days |
| 5.13 | 90 days | 5.75 | about 53.54 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alpha Cognition to stay under 5.75 after 90 days from now is about 53.54 (This Alpha Cognition Common probability density function shows the probability of Alpha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alpha Cognition Common price to stay between its current price of 5.13 and 5.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.23 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Alpha Cognition Common has a beta of -0.71. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Alpha Cognition are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Alpha Cognition Common is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Alpha Cognition Common has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Alpha Cognition Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alpha Cognition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alpha Cognition Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alpha Cognition Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alpha Cognition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alpha Cognition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alpha Cognition Common, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alpha Cognition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.71 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Alpha Cognition Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alpha Cognition for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alpha Cognition Common can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alpha Cognition generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alpha Cognition has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Alpha Cognition Announces Partial Exercise of Over-allotment Option |
Alpha Cognition Technical Analysis
Alpha Cognition's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alpha Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alpha Cognition Common. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alpha Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alpha Cognition Predictive Forecast Models
Alpha Cognition's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alpha Cognition's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alpha Cognition's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alpha Cognition Common
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alpha Cognition for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alpha Cognition Common help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Alpha Cognition generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alpha Cognition has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Alpha Cognition Announces Partial Exercise of Over-allotment Option |
Check out Alpha Cognition Backtesting, Alpha Cognition Valuation, Alpha Cognition Correlation, Alpha Cognition Hype Analysis, Alpha Cognition Volatility, Alpha Cognition History as well as Alpha Cognition Performance. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Pharmaceutical Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alpha Cognition. If investors know Alpha will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alpha Cognition listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Alpha Cognition Common is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alpha that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alpha Cognition's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alpha Cognition's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alpha Cognition's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alpha Cognition's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alpha Cognition's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alpha Cognition is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alpha Cognition's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.