Apexindo Pratama (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 134.00
| APEX Stock | IDR 134.00 1.00 0.75% |
Apexindo |
Apexindo Pratama Target Price Odds to finish over 134.00
The tendency of Apexindo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 134.00 | 90 days | 134.00 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Apexindo Pratama to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Apexindo Pratama Duta probability density function shows the probability of Apexindo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Apexindo Pratama Duta has a beta of -1.01. This suggests Additionally Apexindo Pratama Duta has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Apexindo Pratama Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Apexindo Pratama
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apexindo Pratama Duta. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Apexindo Pratama Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Apexindo Pratama is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Apexindo Pratama's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Apexindo Pratama Duta, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Apexindo Pratama within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Apexindo Pratama Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Apexindo Pratama for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Apexindo Pratama Duta can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Apexindo Pratama generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Apexindo Pratama Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Apexindo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Apexindo Pratama's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apexindo Pratama's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.5 M |
Apexindo Pratama Technical Analysis
Apexindo Pratama's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Apexindo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Apexindo Pratama Duta. In general, you should focus on analyzing Apexindo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Apexindo Pratama Predictive Forecast Models
Apexindo Pratama's time-series forecasting models is one of many Apexindo Pratama's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Apexindo Pratama's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Apexindo Pratama Duta
Checking the ongoing alerts about Apexindo Pratama for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Apexindo Pratama Duta help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Apexindo Pratama generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Apexindo Stock
Apexindo Pratama financial ratios help investors to determine whether Apexindo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Apexindo with respect to the benefits of owning Apexindo Pratama security.